Tuesday, August 28, 2018

Re: [Electric Boats] Re: Update after 9 years sailing with electric propulsion

 

This is a fair comment.
And, imho, quite true and correct.

But in industrial production in large scale, if a product can be
profitably built and sold, it will be.
By someone, somewhere, somehow.

Costs - not price - drove PV solar panel prices down 99.5% in about 12
years.
And ram, hdd, processor power, pcs, phones, international call prices,
3g data rates, etc.
And now lion batteries.

If anyone anywhere once succeeds in building a really efficient battery,
they will literally own the world.
As in the most valuable and powerful company in the world, by far.

Costs are driven, not, by critical mass.

By excellence in manufacturing - often in novel ways.
By scale. Sometimes in novel ways.
By faster and better scaling of some new technology or application of it.

On 27/08/2018 18:39, tugoc@hotmail.com [electricboats] wrote:
> Hannu, I've been following analyses like yours for a while, and I'm a
> little more skeptical than you. Costs are driven by critical mass,
> pricing is not. If people are willing to pay top dollars for a
> product, companies will obviously skim the market. Case in point:
> Oasis Firefly, which I mentioned in my original post. This is what
> transpired with them.

--
-hanermo (cnc designs)

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Posted by: Hannu Venermo <gcode.fi@gmail.com>
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